BFM Podcast: Outcomes of the G7 summit
14 June 2021
Bunn Nagara was interviewed by BFM 89.9 on 14 June 2021 Produced by: Tasha Fusil, Azlyna Mohd Noor Presented by: Lee Chwi Lynn Leaders from the G7 nations met last weekend in England and discussed economic and international policies on matters like Covid vaccines, taxes on multinational corporations, and climate change action. We go through…
Consider This: China friends with friction?
03 June 2021
Consider This with Sharaad Kuttan & Melisa Idris - 02 June 2021 Mr Bunn Nagara was interviewed by Astro Awani Recent incursions into our airspace by PRC fighter jets raise concerns about our sovereignty in the South China Sea. Melisa Idris & Sharaad Kuttan asks Bunn Nagara if this is a stress test for diplomatic relations…
BFM Podcast: Understanding ‘big brother’ furore
05 April 2021
Produced by: Tasha Fusil, Loo Juosie, Alia Zefri Presented by: Lee Chwi Lynn, Sharmilla Ganesan Foreign Minister Dato’ Seri Hishammuddin Hussein was recently criticised over his “big brother” remark during a press conference with his China counterpart, Wang Yi. Was it a major diplomatic faux pas, or just a storm in a teacup? We unpack…
Test of quality friendships
21 March 2021
THE Cold War swept in from 1947 and took decades to end. The Korean War began a few years later and has not officially ended. From 1949, Kim Il-sung began building his political base in Pyong-yang. In the 1990s he passed the national leadership to his son Kim Jong-il, who later passed it to his…
Trump, twice impeached
14 January 2021
Produced by: Tasha Fusil Presented by: Lee Chwi Lynn, Sharmilla Ganesan Trump will face the Senate in a historic second impeachment trial, after the House voted to impeach him for inciting violence against the US government. We speak to Bunn Negara to understand the significance of this second impeachment, and what it means for the…
Malaysian development means good, constructive work
19 October 2020
From last December to March this year, Notes Verbale were filed by Malaysia and the Philippines at the United Nations over Malaysia’s extension of its continental shelf claim from Sabah’s coast facing the South China Sea. Malaysia’s filing was consistent with the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), yet it drew an…
Analysis: Braving Brexit and beyond
12 February 2020
IT seemed like such a good idea at the time – a unified Europe, prospering through trade within itself and collectively with the rest of the world, forming a hefty world market to sustain its high living standards. But what happened? The woes of Britain and the European Union, which include but are not limited…
Europe, the next global superpower?
24 November 2019
FEW countries can claim that their domestic politics also determines the state of the international community. Besides the US, the two most prominent countries that have lately come into this category are Britain and India. These two nations are about to reshape international geopolitics in quite unexpected ways. Britain’s latest round of Brexit angst coincided…
Hong Kong in decline
01 August 2019
TWO generations ago cheap goods from Hong Kong were labelled simply “Made in Hong Kong,” but their poor quality soon made that embarrassing. For marketing reasons they were then labelled “Made in the British Empire” or “Empire Made.” Britain, home of the First Industrial Revolution, was better regarded than any Far Eastern outpost. However, manufacturing…
Southeast Asia's Democratic Option
13 May 2019
For the past half century, East Asia has been a crucible of change demanding global attention because of its promise. Most notably, countries in northeast and southeast Asia have posted high rates of economic growth for decades. And for most of this period, East Asia has also enjoyed peace and stability. As a region, East…
How Deep is the State?
21 April 2019
THE Rome Statute has been explained until only two kinds of people can now insist it is “incompatible” with the Malaysian Constitution: the wilful fool and the rabble-rouser with undeclared political interests. In an earlier period of Malaysian politics, they would have been branded subversive “anti-national elements” – and dealt with promptly and decisively. By…
Time for Better Ties
02 April 2019
AS the new Pakatan Harapan administration was being sworn in on May 10 last year, some anxiety stirred in Singapore. This was a new government in an important neighbour, Malaysia, with mostly new members and leaders. Unfamiliarity tended to breed doubt and uncertainty. Still, there was some familiarity in returning Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir…
No calm before election storm
24 February 2019
MORE than ever since the latest military coup of 2014, Thailand seems likely to stagger towards a scheduled election. Some shocks had been expected and the tense situation did not disappoint. More are being anticipated before election day on March 24. The pro-Thaksin Thai Raksa Chart (TRC) party caused a storm of controversy by nominating…
More Clarity Still Needed
13 January 2019
JUST when everyone seemed inured to shocking details about 1MDB, Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reporters appeared to have come up with more. Investigative reporters Tom Wright and Bradley Hope, who covered 1MDB issues before, made additional claims last Monday that would be shocking if proven true. They say that upon the initiative of Malaysian authorities, China offered to…
Keeping the World on Edge
30 December 2018
THE shape of the world, or more specifically the world’s mess, would start to come into focus around the first quarter of 2019. Britain’s relationship with the EU, and vice-versa – otherwise known as Brexit – is due to be formalised by March 29. The prospect of other EU member countries also considering an exit…
Democracy is the Winner
03 December 2018
EARLY last Monday morning an earthquake hit Taiwan’s coast, registering 6.1 in Penghu county. The resulting tremors swiftly spread to Hong Kong. The presumed and much-cherished stability in both places was suddenly disturbed, with some fearing the worst. An even more disturbing jolt to some political hopes had swept Taiwan and Hong Kong in similar…
Bigger Thriller in Manila
18 November 2018
NOW that the quartet of Asean-related summits is over for the year, so should the niggling criticisms. At least they should – more important matters are at hand. Over the week Singapore hosted the 2nd RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) Summit, the 13th East Asia Summit, the 21st Asean Plus Three Summit, and – not…
When Realities Hit the ‘Road’
04 November 2018
JUST 11 weeks into his election victory, Pakistan’s new Prime Minister Imran Khan has already had to accomplish a task that seriously tests his diplomatic skills. More than that, it is a task that would tax his diplomatic creativity. And that is in addition to the dire economic challenges he already faces at home. Confronted…
Renewing Ties Between Malaysia and Thailand
25 October 2018
THE nuances that contribute to the delicate relations among Asean members deserve greater acknowledgement, especially when such nuances are often misunderstood. Each set of bilateral relations among the 10 nations is unique. Clarity amounts to a better understanding of Asean and South-East Asia as a whole. Malaysia-Thai relations are striking for several reasons. Thailand is…
G2 Becomes More Pivotal
21 October 2018
US-China relations are of great concern to much of the world, particularly this region, whether or not Washington and Beijing seem to realise it. DID it have to take a US-China (G2) trade war, or noises to that effect, to nurture peaceable moves in a hotly contested South China Sea? Yet that appears to have…
Hopes for Peace Remain
07 October 2018
IN Thailand’s “Deep South,” largely Pattani, Yala and Narathiwat provinces, Thai citizenry, communities, neighbourhoods and even families have been torn by intractable, decades-long violence. Formal and informal identity groups have been divided and separated. Yet a positive consequence has been convergent currents that bring diverse players together in efforts to heal. For years, different sectors…
The Irony Deepens
23 September 2018
IN worsening the climate for a colossal trade war between the world’s two biggest economies, the US slapped new sanctions on China three days ago. The ostensible offence: China’s purchase of Russian combat aircraft last year and surface-to-air missiles this year, in violation of sweeping US sanctions against Russia. Specifically, the new sanctions are levelled…
Some Regional Realities
13 September 2018
BEFORE the current US-China “trade war” there was the mutual escalation of tensions between the US and China on this region’s high seas. However, today’s heated trade dispute has not replaced the maritime tensions but supplemented them. These fraught relations at sea have lately been sliding further. The tensions are real and growing, with one…
Myanmar’s Eternal Shame
13 September 2018
THE problem with tracing the origins of Myanmar’s current massacres of its Rohingya people is that the starting point goes back many years. Myanmar’s campaign of genocide has been consistent albeit punctuated by peaks and troughs, with violent discrimination against Muslim Burmese people in Arakan (later renamed Rakhine) state dating to at least 1930. It…
Is the ringgit real?
13 September 2018
FOR the past 100 days, Malaysians have talked a lot about money. We have been shocked by how much has gone missing, how much we owe and how little we now have. We have seen plastic-wrapped mountains of the stuff being carted away by police, along with ultrahigh-end handbags, watches, diamonds and the odd luxury…
Evolution of Malaysia-China Relations
13 August 2018
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in www.china.org.cn, 8 August 2018 Since 1974, a sort of mythology has grown up around how Malaysia's current strong relations with China began to take shape in that year, when Prime Minister Tun Abdul Razak became the first ASEAN leader to normalize relations with it. Actually Indonesia and Burma…
Whither the Trade War?
06 August 2018
FOR further proof that China’s planners don’t always get it right, look no further than the current trade war with the United States. According to the latest reports including from within China, Beijing is flitting between damage control mode and full-on panic. A senior researcher at a Chinese think tank recently remarked that China has…
More Than Talkfests
23 July 2018
TOP meetings of political leaders are supposed to mean something important and special. However, such meetings of leaders at their respective peaks, or summits, tend to be overdone by many countries for their perceived glamour value. Even the supposed chutzpah and gravitas that summitry participants believe they would acquire seem to be wearing thin. Most…
Time for East Asia
09 July 2018
AS an indication of how out of touch some international pundits of Asia are, they still call North-East Asia (China, Japan and Korea) “East Asia.” East Asia as a region comprises the sub-regions of North-East Asia and South-East Asia, the latter being the countries of Asean and Timor-Leste. The Asean region developed steadily with peace…
Heeding the Realities
26 June 2018
THERE is a pattern and a rhythm in global markets that, when acknowledged and heeded, can yield profits – but when denied or confronted may lead to loss and pain. Asia’s two largest economies, China and Japan, are set to face off in South-East Asia in at least one sector: automobiles. The signs of this…
Non-Western Eurasia Rises
11 June 2018
THE week that was ended with a significant non-Western event often ignored or misunderstood by the West: the latest Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit. The 18th annual SCO summit in the Chinese port city of Qingdao this weekend is only the fourth held in China. Beijing is relaxed about its role in a growing organisation…
Art of the Korean Deal
30 May 2018
NO sooner had US and North Korean officials raced towards a first-ever summit than they competed to pull away from it. Is anyone in Washington and Pyongyang serious about a peace deal anymore? After President Donald Trump and Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un exchanged insults throughout 2017 over the latter’s missile and nuclear arsenals, a thaw…
The Storm Continues
14 May 2018
WHETHER it was a tsunami or tidal storm, GE14 hit Barisan Nasional for six, a blow so severe that its members, leaders and component parties are still reeling from it. The Pakatan Harapan pact did not achieve this all by itself, of course. It had the support of a majority of Malaysians and, no less,…
Fumbling and Stumbling
02 May 2018
THE Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has a term for operations that backfire: blowback. This happens when a field project stumbles and produces an untoward, often opposite result of the intended outcome, blowing back into their faces. The venturesome CIA apparently conducts so many operations, with so many blowing backwards up the wrong tubes, that its…
Skies Darken Over Syria
16 April 2018
AS if on schedule, US missiles backed by British and French forces attacked Syria yesterday, one year and a week after similar Cruise missiles hit targets in Syria. During the week, the prospect of a US attack on Syrian facilities was issued with the full authority of a presidential tweet. Yesterday two Syrian sites near…
Misunderstanding ASEAN
26 March 2018
“SO when is China going to join Asean?” a foreign news editor asked me in the early 1990s by way of introduction at a luncheon meeting in Tokyo. He had asked when, not if, seeming to assume it was just a matter of time. There was no talk or even rumour of such a prospect…
Four Eyes Over Korea
15 March 2018
AS seems most appropriate, an extraordinary event arrived in an unusual fashion. Finally, the North Korean leader and the US president agreed to a first-ever four-eyed summit. But neither US nor North Korean officials issued the first formal announcement about it. It came through South Korea’s national security adviser Chung Eui-yong at the White House.…
Trapped by History
26 February 2018
WHEN BBC’s Stephen Sackur interviewed American cognitive psychologist Steven Pinker on Hardtalk three nights ago, the discussion might have appeared dry and dull. That perception would be a mistake. The interview covered not only Pinker’s new book celebrating Enlightenment values and human progress, but also current issues around the world. Prof Pinker’s previous books, like…
Double Standards as Norm
12 February 2018
Many countries can do a lot better than look to the rich and powerful among them which observe only the law of the jungle IN an ideal world, rich and powerful countries are righteous, gracious, confident and patient – possibly even wise and generous. It is about national character, particularly after having achieved an estimable…
Davos On More Time
29 January 2018
SO another month has ended for the world in Davos and another year for Davos in the world, the international talkfest held at the Swiss Alpine resort each January. Once more, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has provided a platform for the hallowed and the ballyhooed to strut their stuff and to shower their sagacity…
Multipolarity Sets In
15 January 2018
ONE phrase captures the complex and often baffling world of international relations today: a shift towards multipolarity. This growing reality is experienced more than it is understood or even commonly perceived. The familiar notion of much in global geopolitics revolving around the US as major pole has stuck. This is partly because old habits die…
Party in full swing
18 December 2017
NOW that the proverbial dust has settled over the 19th Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC), it is time to weigh the implications of its new, much-anticipated leadership structure. Much had been said about Xi Jinping’s stronger positions as CPC General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission and President of the People’s…
Will history be repeated?
05 December 2017
ROBERT Mugabe’s dramatic fall from grace as Zimbabwe’s strongman is only part of a vast, unfolding tapestry. Just over 50 years ago, Ian Smith of the British colony of Southern Rhodesia unlawfully declared a Unilateral Declaration of Independence (UDI) before majority rule could be introduced. Britain, the Commonwealth, the UN and the international community regarded…
Mr Trump goes to Asia
07 November 2017
PRESIDENT Trump arrives in Tokyo today at the start of a 10-day trip to East Asia. It will be a first for the visitor and his hosts. Following a two-day stopover in Hawaii, this is the longest trip to Asia for any US president. Not only is East Asia bubbling with issues, so is the…
The ‘fire’ next time
23 October 2017
MAY 23 was a watershed for the Philippines and international terrorism. But the times have changed considerably since. Abu Sayyaf bandits then had seriously ganged up with the Maute terrorist group and assorted militants in Marawi City, Mindanao, to stage what became a make-or-break war against society and the state. The international dimension of this…
Sea claims not well grounded
09 October 2017
WHEN a problem clearly becomes hopeless, it may generate one of two opposite reactions – intellectual equivalents of fight or flight. One is to see tremendous hope in the depths of disappointment; the other is to surrender utterly to crushing despondency. Both extreme reactions are equally unrealistic. The intractable South China Sea disputes with their…
Same-same, but different
26 September 2017
After much talk of changes in German politics amid undercurrents of ditching the current government, the status quo still holds considerable sway for now at least. THE French have a saying that the more things change, the more they remain the same: plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose. Germans are now experiencing that,…
The Koreas On the Brink
16 August 2017
Call for peace: Ribbons with inscriptions calling for peace and reunification being displayed on a military fence at Imjingak peace park near the Demilitarized Zone. — AFP As both tension and speculation mount on the Korean peninsula, emotions run high while sober minds and rational solutions are hard to find. THE great leader strides up…
Testing Time for Asean
30 July 2017
The South China Sea is experiencing what the Straits of Malacca did – overcrowding by big external powers, making the case yet again for stronger Asean representation THE Straits of Malacca was once a narrow, shallow and crowded waterway with increasing volumes of international shipping – and little security protection. It also happened to be…
On the Edge of A Territorial Clash
17 July 2017
THERE are just two things wrong with the India-China face-off over Doklam in Bhutan – that it should happen at all, and that it has lasted for weeks on end and continues to fester. Any of these two unlikely scenarios would have been bad enough. To have both at once is nothing less than a…
Focus Sharply on Terrorism
19 June 2017
THE terrorist threat in South-East Asia has officially worsened since 2015 with a focus on Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia. However, it would be presumptive to suggest a steady deterioration of security throughout these countries. No clear evidence indicates the terrorist threat in this region has worsened overall. The situation has evolved over…
The Meanings Behind the Words
06 June 2017
Asean season is already upon us, with member nations busily hosting international seminars, workshops and conferences about the regional organisation. Some of these events were held in close succession in Kuala Lumpur recently. As a prime mover and founding member of Asean, how can Malaysia and Malaysians do any less? Chief among these was IS…
Casting a Spotlight on the Koreas
22 May 2017
To understand the peninsula’s situation better in forming appropriate responses, clear away misconceptions, presumptions and prejudices – especially the familiar and established ones. THE “Hermit Kingdom,” or the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, better known as North Korea, has been busy making waves on land, air and sea. While in Malaysia it became known for…
Long Way from Closing in On Terror
09 May 2017
AFTER more than 100 days of the Trump presidency, mainstream media in the West are only just beginning to report on the issues that matter rather than their pet peeves about Trump. Understandably, it can be hard to let go of the fact that their preferred candidate Hillary Clinton lost. It was difficult for Hillary…
China in Period of Transition
25 April 2017
THE study of modern China is fraught with pitfalls. Among these are confusion and misunderstanding, either of the subject itself or of other people’s perception of a scholar’s views of it. Part of the problem is that there are more perspectives of China than there are people studying it. An analyst is not limited to…
The ‘Enemies’ are at Home
11 April 2017
NOT too long ago, the talk among US and China watchers was of a prospective trade war. Flexing his populist credentials, President-elect Donald Trump had been bitter about the enormous US trade deficit and what he called China’s “currency manipulation”. Tough words were exchanged between Washington and Beijing as a noisy sideshow to the US…
Focus on the Policies
29 March 2017
Beyond the noisy protests over Trump’s presidency, there are important policy issues and implications that need better understanding – but which are still neglected. NOT too long ago, there was hope, even a belief, that the fuss about Donald Trump’s fitness for presidential office would fade away after his inauguration. But even after more than…
Malice in Wonderland
13 March 2017
AT first, it seemed simple enough, but it was just the opposite: a foreign man is accosted with a lethal face rub by two foreign women at KL International Airport 2. He is disoriented and dies. The women are arrested with two other suspects on suspicion of murder. Four more suspects, all North Korean, had…
A Faintly Familiar Feeling
28 February 2017
Another round of peace talks between Thailand and rebel groups hosted by Malaysia will be starting soon, but any new chances of success are still in question. AS everyone will appreciate, conducting peace talks is a deadly serious matter. Getting both warring parties to sit down at the same table is an achievement in itself.…
Decoding Trump-ism
13 February 2017
LAST Wednesday, a US Navy spy plane and its Chinese counterpart each tempted fate, flying within 300m of each other over the disputed Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea. Both were quad-prop surveillance aircraft on airborne patrol. The near-miss, the first this year after two incidents last year, showed the high-risk “great game” of…
Time to Reflect, or Not
23 January 2017
Now that the US presidential inauguration is over, all parties need to reconcile themselves with the Trump presidency regardless of preferences and inclinations. AFTER all the hype and hoopla of Donald J. Trump’s inauguration as the 45th US President, the opportunity now exists to reconcile political differences and begin to rebuild a more unified United…
Facing Pressure at Home, Islamic State Focuses on SE Asia
13 January 2017
BANGKOK - As the Islamic State terror group faces territorial losses in the Middle East, there are signs that the group is increasing its cooperation with local militant groups in Southeast Asia. A new report from researchers at the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC), warns that supporters of the terrorist group are networking…
US-China Ties on the Precipice
09 January 2017
Even as the US and China need to work more closely to resolve transnational problems, the space they have given themselves to do so is rapidly closing. NEVER before have relations between the United States and China been so fraught, at such great risk to so many, over so little or nothing at all. And…
The Lady has No Voice
06 December 2016
THE Myanmar of today was ruled by the aggressive and expansionist Konbaung Dynasty from the mid-18th to the late 19th century. Konbaung kings attacked India’s Assam and Manipur Kingdoms, the Mon Kingdom to the south, and the Siamese Kingdom next door. They even irritated Qing Dynasty China, but despite battlefield victories they were no match…
Battening Down the Hatches
22 November 2016
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, November 20, 2016. Download
Final Round for the White House
09 November 2016
Scandals are not new in US presidential elections, but selective labels used on candidates are even more revealing about policies to come. THE extended melee playing live to a global audience, being the match also known as the US presidential election, is in its final round. With both contenders compromised as caricatures, a narrow points…
Between The Angry man and The ‘Nasty Woman’
02 November 2016
IT is now only two weeks and two days to the US presidential election and practically, the whole planet is as clued-in on the identities of the candidates as it is clueless about their agendas. Blame this on mainstream media more preoccupied with personalities and sensationalism than the issues and prospective policies. There are four…
Can Asean Step Up?
11 October 2016
THE “regional security architecture” of East Asia is often said to be in need of refurbishment. The decades-long balance of forces deriving from the distinct national interests now being pursued by the major powers is thought to be out of kilter. At the very least, it is unlike what it had been in the postwar…
Realities Behind the Wall
26 September 2016
The fuss over measures to prevent illegal migration seems as out of touch with popular sentiments as it is with political platforms championing these measures. WHEN a crime or offence is committed, the perpetrator is supposed to be punished under the law. Enlightened authorities, however, are obliged to act to prevent or discourage the offence…
Seoul-ful Search for Peace
20 September 2016
Provocative move: A man walking past a television screen showing a news broadcast on North Korea’s nuclear test at Gimhae International Airport in Busan, South Korea. — Bloomberg WHAT does an international security conference in South Korea do when North Korea has just fired off a series of test missiles while pressing ahead with its…
Mixing Borders With Trade
29 August 2016
AMONG once-fashionable terms, “borderless world” must be one of the least relevant today. Borders are at least as important now as they had ever been. Border disputes and conflicts over territory are still very much in vogue. Distance and proximity also matter. Goods and people still have to be transported over land and sea. More…
Warming to Russia
15 August 2016
Even as Western sanctions are often said to work on Russia, Russian sanctions on Europe are proving to be even more effective. AS the US presidential campaign grinds on, Donald Trump continues to be chastised and condemned for allegedly being “unfit to be president.” Part of his disqualification is said to be a willingness to…
Turkey on the Brink
25 July 2016
While Erdogan gives the impression of heroically defeating a coup attempt, the underlying political differences have become harder to resolve and remain a growing problem. WHEN some tanks rumbled on the streets and air force jets screeched across the skies on behalf of Turkish rebel units nine days ago, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s government seemed…
Now, a ‘Brivot’ to Asia?
11 July 2016
Instead of being the end of the good old EU days, Brexit may just be the beginning of Britain’s new productive relations in Asia. FROM the start, arguments over Brexit had been skewed on several fronts. Mainstream international media tends to be negative about Britain’s exit from the EU. The ills of withdrawal are often…
The Evolution Continues
28 June 2016
BOTH the Leave and Remain sides of “Brexit” portray it as a unique and dramatic break from the norm, but Britain’s EU exit is merely the latest phase of the evolution of Europe. Historically, Britain’s vote to quit was a natural, even predictable progression of the state. Far from “no turning back,” this is not…
Back to Classic Terror
14 June 2016
HOW is success against terrorism to be measured or even defined? Is there a common measure that works? It concerns the scale of achievement against the terrorist purpose. The purpose of Islamic State (IS), the transnational terrorist scourge of all nations, communities and faith groups, is creating a bloody alternative state based in Iraq and…
When Failure is Assured
31 May 2016
Leaders of the United States, Canada, Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Japan plus the EU gathered for two days during the week in the Japanese coastal resort of Shima to ponder on the world’s problems. These mostly Western countries have come a long way in trying to tackle global challenges with declining capacity. The modalities…
Now the Real Test Begins
16 May 2016
After the colour and drama of another Philippine election, what kind of country will a controversial President Duterte and his new government turn out? FROM almost nowhere, a dark horse candidate sweeps past his fancied political rivals to surge towards the coveted national leadership. Loud, brash, crude, insensitive but irrepressibly popular, his unorthodox manner and…
Misunderstanding Trump
01 May 2016
THE US political establishment continues to be caught off-guard by Donald Trump’s ever-ascending campaign, which is impacting on the Republican and Democratic establishments equally. Yet Trump’s success so far should not be a surprise if opponents and punters had not been so smugly dismissive of his chances. They underestimated him and are now reaping the…
Resolve These Anxieties
18 April 2016
Tension in an already tense South China Sea region continues to rise, with every indication that things may get worse before they get any better FROM October 2011, senior US officials launched a “pivot” to the East Asia and Pacific maritime region. The idea of President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to…
More Seeming Reforms
04 April 2016
Whenever Myanmar lurches towards a promise of change, the realities suggest otherwise – and the latest flurry of seeming change seems hardly any different. WHEN US President Barack Obama visited Myanmar in 2014, he openly testified to the authenticity of change seen to be sweeping the country. Just weeks before, the Asian Development Bank was…
Building Solid Ties on Land
21 March 2016
At least as important as the disputes over East Asian waters are the blossoming relations and plans on mainland Europe and Asia. RECENT reports and speculation on rising major power interests in the Asia-Pacific, notably in the East and South China Seas, paint a picture of “the great game” being played out strategically in East…
Mutual Threats Won’t Do
07 March 2016
ON Thursday, the US navy dispatched a fleet of warships to the South China Sea, which China sees as an escalation of tension in a hotly disputed area. The aircraft carrier John C. Stennis was accompanied by two destroyers, two cruisers and the Blue Ridge, command ship of the 7th Fleet, departing their respective ports…
‘The Donald’ has Trump Cards
22 February 2016
Donald Trump’s presidential campaign had always been expected to crash, but these pundits continue to be stumped and such predictions have proven wrong before. Powering on: Like him or hate him, Trump has stump his critics and is in the running to become the new President of the United States. IT was not supposed to…
Asean Alive and Well at 100?
15 February 2016
It is tempting to consider what Asean would be like in another 50 years, even though some may still not understand it in its first 50. THE Association of South-East Asian Nations (Asean) enters its 50th year of operation this year, and many in the region sought to peek into what it would look like…
One Deal, Many Interests
26 January 2016
Critics of the Iran nuclear deal cite many reasons against it, but they forget it is more than just about Iran or nuclear issues. THE preferred US term for realigning its forces and influence in East Asia and the Pacific is “rebalancing”, although little of that seems evident. The bigger rebalancing that the US and…
Losing to Terror by Default
11 January 2016
Instead of choosing win-win opportunities, some countries are still opting for lose-lose situations against international terrorist threats. WHAT many cynical analysts will not admit is that not everything being contested politically has to be a zero-sum game. “Neo-realists” who assume the worst about everyone’s motives seem averse to win-win situations, such as when countries with…
Losing the ‘War on Terror’
15 December 2015
No effort against terrorism can work when it refuses to understand the root causes, especially when it actually encourages more widespread and endless violence WAR, terrorism, religion, governance and business are human activities that become more complicated and troublesome when they mix. It is bad enough when nations have to go to war. That makes…
Trigger-happy or Just Proud?
30 November 2015
As an informal coalition against terrorism in Syria began to build, a single act suddenly transforms the situation to benefit regime change and more chaos. AT first, the logic seemed simple enough. The United States, Russia and the rest of the civilisation had more than enough reason to join forces against the hideously brutal Da’ish…
Myanmar at The Starting Gate
16 November 2015
New challenges: Suu Kyi may have ushered the NLD to an Far from Myanmar’s election last weekend being the end of a long struggle for democracy and development, it is only the beginning for all concerned. IN considering Myanmar on the cusp of political change, the landslide victory of the National League for Democracy (NLD)…
Some Reflections on ‘Future of Malaysian Democracy’
02 November 2015
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in Thinking ASEAN, Issue 3 (September 2015) Download
Putting Economics First
26 October 2015
Despite Britain’s role as the closest US ally, its leaders have surprised the world by surging forward in relations with a rising China. FOR centuries, relations between Britain and China have been undulating, rising rather more than declining. In that time, Britain has been more anxious to penetrate Chinese markets and forage for what China…
Old Habits Die Hard
12 October 2015
FOR the more discerning citizens of Asean who have been following the recurring transboundary haze pollution, 2015 was earlier being closely watched "with hope and trepidation". "With hope" was because Indonesia finally ratified the Asean Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution (ATHP), after 13 years, and the region may finally see a "breakthrough in solving the…
Towards Closer Ties
28 September 2015
President Xi Jinping’s first state visit to the United States may mean vastly improved China-US relations, with key agreements signed ahead to mark the occasion. IF timing is a significant factor in shaping important events, what has it done to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first state visit to the United States? That the visit came…
Invasions Have Effects
14 September 2015
Many Western officials cannot fully understand a humanitarian crisis like today’s refugee exodus when they have lost sight of their own humanity. IT seemed so simple at the time: the 2001 US invasion of Afghanistan removed the ruling Taliban expeditiously. The ragtag band that ran Kabul was no match for the world’s sole superpower. Then…
A Region Evolves with China
01 September 2015
South-East Asia’s complex big power relations demand careful and considered understanding, where frequent complications and familiar gut reactions do not help. WHEN countries have difficulty relating to a rising China, part of the problem lies in not understanding where China is heading and not knowing what it will become. The sheer scale of China’s development…
More Woes for Myanmar
17 August 2015
NOVEMBER 2015 was supposed to be the promising near future for Myanmar. It would have been the month for the freest election since 1990. That election was for a constituent assembly to draft a new Constitution, but the reactionary forces of the military acted so blatantly against the vote as to almost grant the poll…
Between two ideals
27 July 2015
After all the claims and recriminations over the Iran nuclear deal, it boils down to whether a country really wants to have a deal or not. THE just-concluded Iran nuclear deal may be regarded on several levels, but two principal ones stand out: the pragmatists’ and the fantasists’. Realists on all sides were jubilant that…
Seizing the Eurasian Moment
12 July 2015
IF there is still any doubt that Russia and China are cultivating their global presence together, events in recent days come as a timely antidote. The five emerging BRICS economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, spanning nearly as many continents, had their seventh summit in Ufa, south-western Russia on Thursday. Any lingering…
Learning From the EU
29 June 2015
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 28 June 2015. BN_The_Star_28Jun2015.pdf
Vigilance Still the Key
16 June 2015
As more major powers crowd into South-East Asia, Asean countries need to develop the necessary skills to keep their territories safe and stable SOUTH-EAST Asia still holds the promise of peace, stability and prosperity, but this familiar condition now requires an unfamiliar caution. The sense of serenity and bounty calls for more circumspection over future…
The Problem Is the State
01 June 2015
The litmus test of how governments and populations treat refugees and how Myanmar treats minority groups, is the pathetic plight of the Rohingya. THE waves of hapless refugees lately washing ashore in Asia and Europe confront the world with two starkly contrasting realities. First, that human hardships are universal yet avoidable. And second, that political…
Osama Died ‘for Obama’s Glory’
18 May 2015
Where conspiracy practice has already become widespread, typically for selfish and cynical purposes, conspiracy theories themselves are no longer necessary TRUTH is said to be the first casualty of war, and even disputes can render it malleable, deformable and negotiable. The catalyst is vested political interest, particularly when it is undeclared. This usually happens when…
Unleashing Asean in the World
05 May 2015
WHEN countries in a region act in unison, it can be so reassuring particularly when policing the region against any misdeeds. Peer pressure can be useful, but only up to a point and if it is wielded advisedly. However, things can get difficult when the misdeeds happened a century ago. Such was the situation when…
Regional Issues in Context
20 April 2015
To appreciate how issues today had developed from the past is also to understand how they are likely to develop in the future. MANY people can be so absorbed by specific issues as to neglect the larger picture that created them. Thus much misunderstanding persists of the issues themselves. This failure to see the wood…
Asian Development to the Fore
06 April 2015
Asia’s need for better infrastructure and more development is too important to be held to ransom by outdated big power politics and petty posturing. FOR many observers, the US “pivot” (later renamed “rebalancing”) to the Asia-Pacific was classic Obama: the rhetorical flourish was more dramatic than the policy substance. In the second half of its…
Policy Hard Sell Turns Hard
23 March 2015
The attempt to modify Japan’s constitutional provisions on sending troops abroad for battle has become more difficult than the Abe government had expected JAPAN’S desire to “adjust” Article 9 of its Constitution, allowing for greater military adventurism, has created unease within and outside the country. It is no secret that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s conservative…
How to Lose to Terror
09 March 2015
Countries supposedly fighting Da’ish (Islamic State) militants can begin to succeed only if they can acknowledge their weaknesses and errors, which still seems unlikely. THE sordid trail of death and destruction perpetrated by so-called Islamic State or Da’ish militants continues to grow longer and bloodier. Reports of more threats, attacks and beheading of hostages, random…
Mistaken Policies, Missed Chances
08 February 2015
There is no new Cold War, at least not yet, unless the West is determined to pursue it over all other needs THE more urgent the crisis, the more exaggerated and distorted events tend to be portrayed. That is the sad irony of media reports on troubling situations. The “new” electronic media’s greater immediacy worsens…
Tragedy Compounds Confusion
11 January 2015
THE French weekly Charlie Hebdo had long prided itself on its notoriety for crude and vulgar satire in which nothing is sacred. Four days ago, three gunmen murdered three of its cartoonists and its editor along with eight others, wounding as many who were in the way. World leaders immediately condemned the killings. Media practitioners…
Balancing Between Superpowers
22 December 2014
Major countries make major strategic errors, often to the advantage of other major powers, smaller nations in between or all of the above. TO the casual reader, Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang’s visit to Bangkok last Friday was the arrival of just another foreign dignitary in Thailand for a regional conference. But that would be…
Palestine Comes of Age
08 December 2014
However hard Israel may try to block equal rights for Palestine in peace talks, even its US ally cannot stop an international quest for justice. WHEN news broke earlier in the week that French parliamentarians had voted in favour of recognising Palestine, more issues were left unsaid than had been reported. Several questions typically remain…
It’s Not News If It’s Good
24 November 2014
The success story of regional integration in Latin America today is seldom heard elsewhere in the world, even as people there experience it daily. LATIN America has been experiencing a progressive, historic but silent revolution for 10 years now. However, few people in the rest of the world seem aware of it. The silence is…
Who Will Cast the First Stone?
10 November 2014
Countries still steeped in criticising Asean and its ‘ways’ could do worse than look in the mirror and be honest with themselves at least. FOR decades, typical Western complaints of Asean processes and procedures have been a familiar lament. Asean has been criticised for moving too slowly or not at all in trying to achieve…
Sound Policies Require Maturity
28 October 2014
When major international policies are based on short-sighted self-interests and emotive impulses, problems are never far away. THE first thing about an integrated system is that any issue in any part of it tends to impact on its other parts. The international economic system is integrated on a global scale and is becoming more so…
Exhuming fact from fiction
13 October 2014
Where undeclared interests reign, such as in global strategic concerns, the need to get a firmer grip on reality grows. WHEN political or ideological passions run high, it is time to revert to the facts. This applies to the Ukraine crisis where ethnic, national, regional and strategic concerns, perspectives, priorities and interests – often undeclared…
War of Words Against Terrorism
29 September 2014
Far too often, the more shrill the rhetoric the less effective the policy-and the international rhetoric against IS terrorism is now very shrill indeed. THE week that was began loudly with spirited declarations on the world stage against the scourge of terrorism, particularly of the Islamic State (IS) variety. It was Tuesday morning in New…
Tide of hope in the region
15 September 2014
Policy challenges over the South China Sea exist alongside some possibilities, with everything riding on how countries choose to behave. THE old Chinese description of experiencing a perilous phase as “living in interesting times” is familiar enough. So is the expectation that doing so opens up new possibilities. Both apply particularly to East Asia today.…
Missed opportunities
02 September 2014
Amid loose talk of a new Cold War in the West, the realities are still very different in a much more dangerous world today WHEN the decades-long Cold War dissipated more than 20 years ago, there was a collective sigh of relief. Few imagined at the time that within a single generation, the perceived certainties…
No Rest for Global Cop
18 August 2014
When the work culture’ is to get involved in everybody else’s business around the world, whether or not anything is resolved, the challenges can be overwhelming IT is a busy time for a superpower, especially when so many everywhere refuse to oblige, conform or comply. For Secretary of State John Kerry, it has been particularly…
Moderation, Development’s Essential Ingredient
11 August 2014
THE world has needed a movement of moderates ever since extremists of any stripe started organising on a mass scale. Unlike more localised or personal efforts at organisation, a movement offers better reach and heft. Consequently, a movement is also more likely than isolated organisations to endure, assume greater visibility, grow and exert leverage for…
ASEAN Moderation as Confidence-Building Measure
11 August 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in Moderation Monitor, Vol. 1 No. 1 (2014), pp. 80-90. BN_ASEAN_Moderation_Monitor_V1N1_2014.pdf
Same Old Inglorious Israel
04 August 2014
The latest Israeli attacks on the Palestinian citizens of Gaza are no different from previous mass murders, only bloodier and even more tragic THE more things in Gaza seem to change for the better since they cannot conceivably get worse, the more they remain woefully the same. After a month of merciless Israeli bombardment of…
More Questions Than Answers
21 July 2014
While there is no doubt that shooting down MH17 was a grave crime, everything else remains uncertain. ALL the big questions about MH17 began only after the passenger jet fell from the sky and crashed to the ground. Up to that point, everything about it was routine and unspectacular: leaving Amsterdam’s Schiphol airport at a…
Garuda Rising New
07 July 2014
The complexity and nuanced sophistication with which Indonesian voters choose their next presidential election are telling, bewildering and definitive IN just three days, Indonesians head for the polls to choose their next president. Already, few things are as they seem. The post-Suharto years have seen a proliferation of parties and personalities, but little by way…
China at Sea, Advantage Europe
23 June 2014
When China cannot develop relations with countries in its neighbourhood, it tries Europe for now, especially when business deals beckon WHILE spats over disputed maritime territory spiral between China and Vietnam, and between China and the Philippines, China goes on a charm offensive in Europe. Prime Minister Li Keqiang has just completed his visit to…
Fighting to End an Unfinished War
15 June 2014
George W. Bush’s invasion of Iraq is now reaping its latests fruits, as uncontrollable violence spills over the country’s borders. JUST over a decade after George W. Bush invaded Iraq, his White House successor Barack Obama has to start clearing up the violent mess. Today’s lethal carnage, the deadliest yet, has come courtesy of the…
The Thailand Coup and Its Aftermath
09 June 2014
THAILAND’S latest coup is in its third week, with different countries reacting differently. Some four dozen countries have sounded travel warnings. The EU is anxious, while the United States was alarmed enough to cut off annual military assistance. Asean countries, however, have been more relaxed, since Thai politics is more familiar to them. This was…
EU Teetering on the Brink, Almost
03 June 2014
JUST as Europe tussled with Russia over issues of regional identity in Crimea and Ukraine, grave questions hung over its prime regionalist project: the European Union. People in the EU’s founding member nations, no less, were becoming disillusioned with the EU. Ironically, this was expressed most vividly in elections to the European Parliament that concluded…
Another Reluctant Coup Hits Thailand
26 May 2014
Within days, Bangkok moved from a troubled democracy to martial law to a coup under an army junta without a single shot fired. LAST Tuesday the Thai military declared martial law, apparently before consulting the government. Cynics saw a coup in the making, or at least an impending variation of yet another coup in the…
Teamwork Rules in Indonesia
19 May 2014
TO appreciate Indonesia’s fledgling democracy better, understanding its uniqueness helps. The country’s post-Suharto democratic gains are real and manifold. But the system is not without certain idiosyncrasies that help define it. Whether the character of Indonesian democracy limits or expands its scope remains a moot point. The features of the system certainly become more pronounced…
Still No Rest for Politicians
12 May 2014
Thailand's complex politics grows ever more complicated, again producing more questions and problems than answers or solutions. FOR Thailand, the week had begun with an earthquake that rocked the northern provinces, with dire warnings of possibly worse tremors to come. Last Monday’s quake, with its epicentre in Chiang Rai, had measured 6.3 on the Richter…
The Law Requires All Hands on Deck
28 April 2014
ANYONE trying to keep track of pirate incidents anywhere in the world may be forgiven for being confused. The numbers can be slippery, misleading or seemingly contradictory. In two years or just one, the number of attacks in any area can be said to be high or low. Much depends on defining a pirate attack,…
Once More, with Less Feelings
07 April 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 6 April 2014.
Tension Around the Ballot Box
30 March 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 30 March 2014.
Reverting to History’s Infamy
23 March 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 23 March 2014.
Replaying History over Crimea
17 March 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 16 March 2014.
Bangkok at Another Crossroads
03 March 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 2 March 2014.
Justice Getting in the Way of Politics
23 February 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 23 February 2014.
Looking Beyond the Fence
17 February 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 16 February 2014.
Interesting Times in East Asia
10 February 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 9 February 2014.
Restating a Claim and a Threat
04 February 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 2 February 2014.
Forging Ahead to Calamity
28 January 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 26 January 2014.
The Political Storm to Come
20 January 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 19 January 2014.
War in the City
12 January 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 12 January 2014.
Still No End to the Fighting
06 January 2014
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 5 January 2014.
Great Deeds Still To Match Fine Words
31 December 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 29 December 2013.
Heavy-duty Spying Does Not Pay
23 December 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 22 December 2013.
A Hard-won Legacy Lives on
16 December 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 15 December 2013.
Democracy in the Balance
09 December 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 8 December 2013.
Misunderstanding the ‘Asean Way’
02 December 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 1 December 2013.
From Down Under to Where?
25 November 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 24 November 2013.
China Stays on Road to Reform
18 November 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 17 November 2013.
That Sinking Feeling in Bangkok
11 November 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 10 November 2013.
Not a James Bond Story
04 November 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 3 November 2013.
China Syndrome Hits the Road
29 October 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 27 October 2013.
It Could Have Been Worse
20 October 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 20 October 2013.
War Loses Its Popularity
16 October 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 13 October 2013.
Global Developments, Regional Consequences
10 October 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in Diplomatic Voice, Vol. 2 2013, pp. 3-4. Kuala Lumpur: Institute of Diplomacy and Foreign Relations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Malaysia.
Myanmar Violence True to Form
06 October 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 6 October 2013.
Xi’s Visit Is Another Historic Marker Along Celebrated Route
04 October 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 4 October 2013.
Keeping Things NEAT
30 September 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in ASEAN Newsletter (of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Republic of Korea), September 2013, p. 6-8.
Abusing Intelligence Is Stupid
30 September 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 29 September 2013.
Ups and Downs in Syria
23 September 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 22 September 2013.
Betraying the Moro Cause
15 September 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 15 September 2013.
Keeping things NEAT
09 September 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star Online, 8 September 2013.
The Sheriff Rides Again
02 September 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star Online, 1 September 2013.
Media Issues are Universal
27 August 2013
Bunn Nagara which appeared in Sunday Star, 25 August 2013 .
Making the Sphinx Wince
20 August 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 18 August 2013.
Intelligence Without Info
14 August 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 11 August 2013.
Battle Stations Bangkok
05 August 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 4 August 2013.
Syria, the ‘New Afghanistan’
30 July 2013
Syria, the ‘New Afghanistan’ By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 28 July 2013.
Social Development Pays
15 July 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 14 July 2013.
Misreading of Events
09 July 2013
Misreading of Events By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 7 July 2013.
Time to Reset East Asia
02 July 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 30 June 2013.
Afghanistan Is Back to Square One
25 June 2013
Afghanistan Is Back to Square One By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 23 June 2013.
Not Really Gangnam Style
17 June 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 16 June 2013.
Democracy Under Siege
10 June 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 9 June 2013.
A Once-Proud Nation Unravels
03 June 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 2 June 2013.
When Faith Trumps Reality
28 May 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 26 May 2013.
No Bridge Over Troubled Waters
20 May 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star 19 May 2013.
Peace Talks Go South, Again
13 May 2013
Article by Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Sunday Star, 12 May 2013.
Reflections on the 22nd ASEAN Summit
30 April 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in ASEAN Newsletter (of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Republic of Korea), April 2013, p. 3-4.
Slow But Steady Progress
29 April 2013
By Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 28 April 2013.
Talk of War to Keep the Peace
14 April 2013
By Mr Bunn Nagara which appeared in The Star, 14 April 2013.